Wednesday, December 9, 2020

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Over a quarter (27%) of premises reported installing crime prevention measures as a result of the Covid-19 outbreak. A greater proportion of retail premises installed measures as a result of the pandemic compared to wholesale premises (Figure 3.1). In the 2021 CVS, when respondents reported the crime that had the most negative impact on their business, they were then asked to identify the types of impacts it had. Of those that reported theft by customers to be the most negatively impacting crime, most of these premises suggested this was because they experienced financial loss or stolen goods or services (68% and 62% respectively). It is also worth noting that fraud incidents can often have a large financial impact on businesses.

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As well as the range of core offences covered by the survey, the CVS questionnaire also included a module about crime prevention, and another about perceptions of crime and the police. Respondents were randomly assigned to answer either the crime prevention module or the perceptions of crime and the police module. Respondents were asked whether the business at the current premises had experienced a range of crimes between April 2020 and March 2021. If so, they were then asked how frequently crimes of each type had been experienced in the same period.

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As such, data are not directly comparable to those from previous years; nor will they be comparable with those collected in future surveys . The 2021 Commercial Victimisation Survey estimated that 38% of business premises in the Wholesale and retail sector in England and Wales had been a victim of crime between April 2020 and March 2021. This is similar to the 2018 prevalence rate (40%), though lower than the 2012 prevalence rate (53%). Cell phone interviews were conducted using a computer-generated random sample of cell phone numbers. Additionally, we utilized a registration-based sample of cell phone numbers for adults who are registered to vote in California.

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For retail premises with 50 or more employees, 66% experienced theft by customers compared with 21% of retail premises with 1 to 9 employees. For retail premises with 50 or more employees, 45% reported that they had experienced this crime type, compared with 9% of those with 1 to 9 employees. As reported in Section 2, assaults and threats continue to be one of the most prevalent types of crime experienced by business premises in the Wholesale and retail sector (12% of premises). The 2018 CVS estimated that there were 1,600 incidents of assaults and threats per 1,000 premises in 2018, which continued the rising trend seen since the 2016 CVS .

Voters’ Views on November’s Propositions

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Larger retailers were more likely to experience moderate to severe financial impacts than small retailers (63% of large retailers, 50% of medium-sized retailers and 26% of small retailers (Table 5.1). The reverse was seen with wholesalers, where small wholesalers were more likely to experience moderate to severe financial impacts than larger wholesalers (35% of small wholesalers compared with 22% of medium to large sized wholesalers) (Table 5.2). After theft by customers it was the second most negatively impacting crime, as reported by 13% of premises . In the British Retail Consortium Crime Survey, which reported on data for the year ending March 2020 , members were asked about the three most significant threats for their business over the next two years. Almost seven in ten (69%) premises identified violence against staff as the main threat, with nearly nine in ten (88%) identifying it as one of the top three threats.

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In October 2018 before the last midterm election, a similar 53 percent of likely voters were extremely or very enthusiastic about voting for Congress (25% extremely, 28% very, 28% somewhat, 10% not too, 8% not at all). Today, Democrats and Republicans have about equal levels of enthusiasm, while independents are much less likely to be extremely or very enthusiastic. Half or more across regions are at least very enthusiastic, with the exceptions of likely voters in Los Angeles (44%) and the San Francisco Bay Area (43%).

Attitudes to crime and the police

The findings from the 2021 Commercial Victimisation Survey are drawn from 2,284 interviews conducted with respondents from premises in the Wholesale and retail sector about their experience of a range of crime types between April 2020 to March 2021. Those who reported having been a victim of crime were asked how frequently they had experienced any of the types of crimes they had mentioned. One of the key changes made to the questionnaire was with the incidence data questions being replaced by frequency of crime questions. It was felt that the previous incidence data had spurious accuracy being based often on very rough estimates provided by respondents. The frequency data was thought to provide a more discriminating measure of the impact of crime against businesses. Additionally, questions were added to collect Covid-19 related data, including around whether respondents perceived crime levels to have increased, decreased or stayed the same since the start of the pandemic.

As incident data were not collected in the 2021 CVS, this stage was not required this year. Data were weighted to take account of both non-response and the stratified sampling design. Non-response is a result of either being unable to identify contact details for sampled business premises or from contacted premises being unwilling to take part in the survey. Weighting accounts for stratification and non-response by ensuring that the sample is representative of businesses in this sector in England and Wales as a whole.

However, where available, estimates for previous years are provided in the commentary, to provide context. Data tables for previous years are available on the ‘Crime against businesses statistics’ page on Gov.UK. The sample of small independent retailers was boosted to enable more robust analysis of a sub-sector which was of particular interest to users of the CVS. The target was for a quarter of the overall target (i.e. 1,000 interviews) to be completed by small independent retailers. The small sample size meant some detailed analysis was not possible, however available findings are reported in Section 8.

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Google joined Mozilla and Microsoft in removing support for TrustCor Systems certificates following a Washington Post report on TrustCor's connections to spyware vendors. The Eagle Act, which would have eliminated per-country caps for employment-based visas, failed to find enough support for passage and was pulled from consideration. This survey was supported with funding from the Arjay and Frances F. Miller Foundation and the James Irvine Foundation. Deja Thomas is a survey analyst at the Public Policy Institute of California, where she works with the statewide survey team. Prior to joining PPIC, she was a research assistant with the social and demographic trends team at the Pew Research Center.

Respondents at premises that had experienced any crime in the period between April 2020 to March 2021 were also asked whether or not staff had reported any incidents to the police. As seen in previous years, the CVS showed considerable variation by the type of offence (Figure 7.1). Respondents in this half of the sample were asked whether or not they had a range of crime prevention measures in place at their premises. The other half of the respondents were asked about their attitudes to crime and the police .

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Companies are included on the IDBR if they are registered with HM Revenue and Customs for VAT purposes, operate a PAYE scheme, or are registered at Companies House. In practice, the VAT registration threshold means that all companies in the UK with a turnover of taxable goods and services over £85,000 per annum are included in the sampling frame. Those with a turnover below this are excluded and, as a result, it is likely that some recently formed companies and small companies will not be covered by the survey.

As such, these data have been added to the main dataset, providing a total base sample of 2,429 premises. Table 3.1 shows that the majority of premises reported that the level of burglary, fraud and ASB had stayed the same during the pandemic (59%, 52% and 47% respectively). Comparing with available police data for the year to March 2021, business and community burglary offences recorded by police forces in England and Wales showed a fall of 39% compared with the previous year. Available police data also showed falls in attempted and aggravated business and community burglary offences.

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